Oil Rig Count, What's Up

Submitted by Chris Ducret on Wed, 11/27/2019 - 12:50

Took a quick look at US Oil Rig Counts published by Baker Hughes.  As of November 22, 2019 there are 671 rigs operating in the United States.  Not sure how to view this.  In December of 2015 there were over 1500 rigs operating. The low point was May of 2016 when the rig count was around 320.  In a span of 5 months, 80% of rigs came off line. 

In perspective of 2016-2019 the industry has doubled. However the YTD trend is not looking good.  Starting with 877 rigs in January, with rigs reducing every week of 2019. The rigs are down nearly 25% for the year. 

University Bloat the Cause Administrative? No!

Submitted by Chris Ducret on Tue, 11/26/2019 - 18:25

Recent notes coming out that University Administration is nearly equal to the professors.  The blame for the rising cost of school seems to be this growth pattern found across the country.  I think this is distraction. How can you blame a university for increasing administration. That is all they have left. University enrollment peaked around 2010 yet. So you don't need more teachers. But charging more money.  Why not charge more money.

Southwest Engine Failure NTSB Report Problems for Boeing & Regulators?

Submitted by Chris Ducret on Sun, 11/24/2019 - 15:37

NTSB releases their report (Executive Summary) on the incident of SWA Flt 1380 that resulted in 1 passenger's death and 8 others injured from shrapnel from the engine exploding entering the cabin.  

There is a test that engines go through Fan Blade Off Tests (FBO Test). The test is to make sure exploding parts stay inside the engine closure. Which failed in the case of SWA Flt 1380.  

What a test looks like: https://youtu.be/wcALjMJbAvU

Telsa Truck Window Break

Submitted by Chris Ducret on Sat, 11/23/2019 - 04:26

 It was a long night for Telsa and their new truck release.  Been a rough week with a horrible evening, preceded by SpaceX blowing its top.

When you are about to shell out for your EV and the idea of that $7500 tax credit. Just keep in mind if you are married filing jointly with 2 kids you will need an income of <$115k PA, to realize the full Tax Credit. If you owe less than $7500, say $5000 in taxes, you will not be receiving a check for $2500 as a refund. Doesn't work that way.

Deutsche Bank Replacing 18,000 with Robots

Submitted by Chris Ducret on Wed, 11/20/2019 - 13:34

 Deutsche Bank announces they are will reduce 18,000 with robots (Business Insider Article).  DB argues that in their test they 

machine learning tools helped to save "680,000 hours of manual work" and that it "so far used bots to process 5 million transactions in its corporate bank and perform 3.4 million checks within its investment bank."

Sticks and Stone for Today?

Submitted by Chris Ducret on Sun, 11/17/2019 - 15:56

The old nursery rhyme 

Sticks and stones may break my bones but names will never harm me.

Coming about sometime in the mid to late 1800s (Wikipedia) looks to be null in the 201X's now.

Does the rhyme need to be updated?  Suggestions?

How about?

Will use sticks and stones to break your bones because of the names you call me.

How about

I will break your bones as names harm me. 


YouTube Deleting Accounts 2019

Submitted by Chris Ducret on Sat, 11/16/2019 - 00:53

Things are changing for YouTube and content providers.  The part that is making headlines is the section titled "Notice for Termination or Suspension".  You can find the new December T&C here (YouTube T&C Link).

The specific language of this section:

YouTube may terminate your access, or your Google account’s access to all or part of the Service if YouTube believes, in its sole discretion, that provision of the Service to you is no longer commercially viable

Disney vs Netflix (Revenue)

Submitted by Chris Ducret on Thu, 11/14/2019 - 22:35

As Disney jumps into the streaming game. Subscriber growth is impressive with 10M+ people signing up in a day or two.  Its great to see successful launches.  

When looking at the revenue generated by these companies, Disney is outpacing Netflix by 3.5x what Netflix earns. 

What is strange is Netflix trades at 93x its earnings vs Disney's more reasonable 16x earning.  If Disney is just moderately inflated, though making 3.5x the revenue, Netflix PE ration of 93 is nuts.  

Netflix vs Disney (Outstanding Shares)

Submitted by Chris Ducret on Thu, 11/14/2019 - 02:33

The release of Disney+ adds to the streaming wars.  Yahoo Finance noted today that with Disney+, the parent (Disney) is now has a market cap of Netflix.  Does Netflix raise to the level of praise with the likes of Disney??

As Yahoo pointed out, Disney has a market value of $268B vs Netflix's $124B

As I start to peal this onion, the first question is what are the outstanding shares:

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